Tokyo Ravens is an excellent fantasy-style anime infused with onmyouji magic and shamans, so why is there no sequel so far, and will we ever get the Tokyo Ravens Season 2 announcement?
Without the second season, we will never learn how Harutora and Natsume’s relationship develops further into the story.
Usually, you could read the source material to learn that, but there is an issue with the Tokyo Ravens franchise. You can’t read it in English because there is no English translation available, so all we can do for now is wait for a sequel.
The problem is that Tokyo Ravens Season 2 didn’t get officially announced yet, and we don’t know what the chances are that another season of Tokyo Ravens will get announced.
How Can We Figure Out If There Will Be Tokyo Ravens Season 2?
In the last few years, I have analyzed hundreds of anime series to determine why they got a sequel or why a continuation never got announced.
I did find out that the best information to look at is the source material, sales, and popularity.
It told me 95% of times why a series did get a continuation or didn’t. I did the same for Tokyo Ravens Season 2, so if you want to know if there will be a continuation of this anime, you’ll love this post.
Now I will show you the information that I did found in 3 quick parts and tell you if you should expect that Tokyo Ravens season 2 will get announced in 2020.
Let’s start with an in-depth look at the source material.
Part 1: Source Material Information For Tokyo Ravens Season 2
The source material is essential because the vast majority of anime series are just adaptations from an existing property.
For Tokyo Ravens, the source material is the light novel.
We need to look at if the light novels are still ongoing and how many volumes are there in 2020. If the story concluded already, there would be no reason for the publisher to invest in another season like what happened with Air Gear Season 2.
After that, we need to check how many books got used for the anime adaptation. There may be nothing left to use after the first season for a sequel like in the case of No Game No Life Season 2.
How many volumes of Tokyo Ravens are there?
There are currently 16 light novel volumes of Tokyo Ravens released in Japan. Tokyo Ravens also has six manga series based on the light novels.
The first manga series has eight books published, but it’s just retelling the original story in manga format. The rest of the manga adaptations are just short spin-off series.
Is Tokyo Ravens still ongoing?
The Tokyo Ravens light novels are ongoing. The latest volume by the author Kōhei Azano (Black Blood Brothers) got released in Japan on October 20, 2018.
The author wrote only one book in 2017 and 1 in 2018, and for 2019, there was no new volume released.
Which light novels does the anime of Tokyo Ravens cover?
The anime of Tokyo Ravens that aired in 2014 adapted volumes 1-9. That means light novel volume 10 continues after the anime.
Nine volumes for two cour adaptation is a lot considering Konosuba Season 3 will be using two books for ten episodes, but that gives us seven books that can get used for Tokyo Ravens season 2.
CONCLUSION OF SOURCE MATERIAL The first season of Tokyo Ravens used nine volumes, but that was too much. The anime skipped a lot. The average number for two cour series to adapt is around 4 to 6 light novel volumes. That means there is more than enough material for another season.
Part 2: Sales & Profit Information For Tokyo Ravens Season 2
Did you know that most anime series are losing money, or it takes them years to make some profit back? That’s why we must check if Tokyo Ravens managed to make a profit, or was a flop.
And it’s not unusual for a sequel to be less profitable. That’s what happened to Noragami and why there is no Noragami season 3.
A two cour anime television series like Tokyo Ravens can cost up to 5,000,000 dollars to produce.
So looking at the sales and profit is the most critical part of this examination. It is usually the reason there is no sequel.
Tokyo Ravens Blu-Ray sales
The anime got released on eight disks in Japan, and each sold, on average, around 2,250 copies. The series got a BD-Box on June 23, 2016, and it sold about 400 copies.
The sales are not that bad for Tokyo Ravens, but they are not in the sequel territory. For that, it would need to be at least 5,000+. The good news is that disk sales don’t matter that much because streaming revenue is much more significant than BD in 2020.
For instance, One Punch Man Season 3 will happen, and it will be successful just from streaming revenue.
Tokyo Ravens Light Novel sales
Volume 15 of Tokyo Ravens was released on September 20, 2017, and sold approximately 23,000 copies. The latest light novel volume 16 that got published in 2018 sold around 20,000 copies.
The light novel sales are disappointing for a series with an anime adaptation. Not to mention the release speed is just one book per year. A good boost from anime would be closer to 50,000 per volume, and a proper release speed is 2-3 books per year.
Even Accel World light novels are selling more, and it’s eight years since the anime aired, and we are still waiting for Accel World Season 2.
Tokyo Ravens Merchandise Numbers
0 figures available for Tokyo Ravens, so that means no Natsume or Harutora figures for people to purchase. There are also only 40 goods for Tokyo Ravens.
It’s pretty rare to find a series that has 0 figures. I would expect at least 400 goods and 10-15 figures from a successful two cour anime adaptation.
Even Kenja no Mago got three figures, and I have low expectations that there will be Kenja no Mago Season 2.
The above are just the main methods an anime adaptation can make a profit. I won’t post all of them here because the rest are usually only small profits.
But here are a few examples for Tokyo Ravens – OST, ending/openings songs, web radio, international license for Funimation, streaming on Hulu, various collaborations, and more.
Conclusion for Sales & Profit The anime did poorly in boosting the source material or selling merch and Blu-Rays. That means there most likely was little or no profit made from this project for the production committee.
Part 3: Popularity Information for Tokyo Ravens Season 2
There is no point in making another season of anime that can’t get more popular or doesn’t have enough big fan-base.
Some anime can get sequel green-lit even with small, but dedicated fan-base that will buy a lot, but is Tokyo Ravens one of them?
What we are interested in is if the series is still active and popular with fans. That means looking at the official website, social media, Google trends, copies in print, new merchandise.
The official website for Tokyo Ravens is no longer available. That is unusual since even for some older series like Air Gear, the site is still online.
The official twitter account for this franchise with 28,000 followers did tweet last time this year about Fantasia Heroine Calendar Book 2020.
Tokyo Ravens popularity peaked in Mar 2014, according to Google, and after that, it just keeps dropping. The current searches are super low for the franchise.
Even at the peak popularity, it was pretty small, so that’s not good news for Tokyo Ravens Season 2.
I can’t find anywhere the number of copies in print for Tokyo Ravens, which is weird. It’s usually not hard to find them. I would say it’s at least 500,000 copies in print.
There was also no new volume released in 2019, and that is a pretty bad signal for the franchise. Some series do publish one light novel per 2 years like Overlord, and everyone expects Overlord Season 4, but that’s because it sells 225k copies per volume.
There are no figures announced to be in production in 2020 that I could find anywhere. For merchandise, the last piece of merchandise Tokyo Ravens got was in 2016, and after that, it’s non-existent in terms of new goods.
CONCLUSION ON POPULARITY It looks like Tokyo Ravens was never popular. I was expecting that at least when it was airing in 2014, it got some popularity. It seems that I was wrong.
Why There is No Tokyo Ravens season 2?
It looks like everything went wrong with this adaptation, from the source material to sales and popularity. It sucks for fans that did support it with the hopes of season 2, but sometimes it does happen.
If we look at the source material the first season of Tokyo Ravens used, we can see that it got rushed with nine volumes for two cour adaptation. The Tokyo Ravens light novels are thick with around 400 pages each, so I wonder how much the anime skipped.
The average pace would be one book for five to four episodes of anime, but Tokyo Ravens season one used one book for 2,5 episodes on average.
As for the sales and popularity, I explained above that it never made a profit or got popular.
And for Tokyo Ravens, there isn’t even popular manga like in the case of Goblin Slayer, which gives that series at least some hope for Goblin Slayer season 2.
Will There Be Tokyo Ravens Season 2
The first season of Tokyo Ravens failed to make a profit for the production committee. There is no chance that they will invest in producing more of this anime.
So I need to conclude that Tokyo Ravens season 2 will never get announced from studio Eight Bit.
I will update this again next year, and we will see if something perhaps changed. In the meantime, you can check the anime-continue category for more sequels.
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