Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry is one of the more popular magical school anime with fantastic art and fun characters, so why is there no sequel so far, and will we ever get the Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2 announcement?
Without the second season, we will never get the chance to see how the relationship will develop between Ikki and Stella or learn if Ikki will get to prove himself as the greatest knight.
The only way to learn that without a continuation would be to read the light novels, but most people will never do that. Watching anime is just much more enjoyable, and it’s what most people prefer to do.
The problem is that Chivalry of a Failed Knight season 2 didn’t get officially announced yet, and we don’t know what the chances are that another season of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry will get green-lit.
How Can We Figure Out If There Will Be Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2?
I spent the past few years looking at various anime series and information about them because I wanted to discover why some of them got a sequel announced. Or if they didn’t get a continuation, what was the reason behind that.
I found out that checking the source material, popularity, and sales is the best choice if we want to figure out if a continuation will happen.
So I did the same for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2 in this post. That means you should read this article if you want to know if you should expect more of this anime in the future.
I will show you the information that I checked in 3 quick parts and tell you if you should expect Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2 to get announced in 2021.
Let’s start with an in-depth look at the source material.
Part 1: Source Material Information For Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
For the past few years, most anime series are just adapting an existing source material like manga, light novels, games, and visual novels to increase popularity and sales.
For the Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry anime, the source material is the light novel.
We need to check out two critical things in this section. First is how many volumes of the light novel are there in 2021. If the story already ended, it could reduce the possibilities of continuation like in the Air Gear Season 2 case.
The second thing we need to figure out is how many books got used for the anime’s first season. Sometimes anime does catch up with the source material like in the case of OPM and why One Punch Man Season 3 will take a while to get announced.
How many volumes of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry are there?
There are currently 18 light novel volumes of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry released in Japan. The series was also adapted to a manga illustrated by Megumu Soramichi.
The manga was collected in eleven tankōbon volumes. There was also an anthology manga volume illustrated by various artists that got published in 2014.
Is Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry still ongoing?
The Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry light novels are still ongoing for now. The latest volume by the author Riku Misora got released in Japan on June 12, 2020.
It looks like the story will end in 1 to 3 volumes, so it wouldn’t surprise me if, in 2021, it will get concluded. There can always be some sequel or spin-off announced, so we will need to wait and see what will happen with the story.
Which light novels does the anime of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry cover?
The first season of the Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry anime that aired in 2015 adapted volumes 1-3. That means if you want to continue the story after the anime, then you should start reading from light novel volume 4.
CONCLUSION FOR SOURCE MATERIAL There is more than enough source material left for at least five more seasons of Chivalry of a Failed Knight. That means source material is not a problem for a potential sequel in 2021.
Part 2: Sales & Profit Information For Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
The primary purpose this anime got made was to make a profit for the production committee. That means looking at the sales for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry is critical to determine if there is a chance that this anime can get a season 2.
A one cour anime television series like Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry can cost up to 3,000,000 dollars to produce.
And a lack of profit is usually the reason why most anime won’t get a continuation. An excellent example of a sequel that will have a tough time getting green-lit because of money is Wise Man’s Grandchild Season 2.
What’s worse is that making a small profit isn’t enough because most sequels make less money than the first season. That means the payoff needs to be large enough that even with a 20% drop, it would be worth doing a sequel.
For example, Goblin Slayer didn’t make much money, but Goblin Slayer Season 2 still got greenlit because it has enough loyal fans to make it worth doing, so there most likely won’t be a massive drop in profit from season to season.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Blu-Ray sales
The Rakugai Kishi no Cavalry anime from Silver Link sold around 3,000 copies per disk on average. That’s not terrible, but it’s not great either for 2015. The series got a BD-Box later, and it sold around 700 copies.
I think that 3,000 copies sold in 2015 is a pretty low number for an anime that wants a sequel. A good number would be around 7-10k per volume since most anime that sold that much got one.
Well, unless you are Accel World, we never got Accel World season 2 even with high BD sales.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Light Novel sales
Volume 17 of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry was released on November 14, 2019, and sold approximately 15,000 copies. The latest light novel volume 18 that got released in 2020 sold around 10,000 copies so far.
The sales are bad for a series that received an anime adaptation. Good sales are around 30,000 – 60,000 for a decently popular series with anime. There are even light novel series like Overlord that sell 230,000 copies per volume. Yet you find that some people still question if there will be Overlord Season 4 even if it’s one of the best selling light novels ever.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Merchandise sales
There are only two figures available for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry, and both are Stella Vermillion. There are also approximately 15-25 pieces of merchandise made for this series, which is super low.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry is doing poorly in terms of merchandise. Even less popular series like Tokyo Ravens got more merch. Tokyo Ravens Season 2 didn’t get announced to this day so there is that.
The above are just the main methods an anime adaptation can make a profit. I won’t post all of them here because the rest are usually only a small part for the production committee in terms of profit.
But here are a few examples for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry – OST, ending/openings songs, international license for Sentai, streaming on HIDIVE, and more.
CONCLUSION FOR SALES & PROFIT The anime didn’t do well in increasing the source material sales or selling merch and Blu-Ray. That means the production committee most likely did not see any profit or even lost some money with this adaptation.
Part 3: Popularity Information For Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
What we are interested in this section is how popular Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry was when it was airing in 2015 compared to other anime. Another essential thing to check is if the series is still getting promoted.
It’s possible that the production committee already moved on from this series to something more profitable.
We will look at the official website, social media, Google trends, copies in print, MyAnimeList Rankings, and new merchandise to do that. That will tell us all we need in terms of popularity.
The official website for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry was last updated in 2017 with news about a Blu-Ray box. The official Twitter account for this franchise with 38,000 followers did tweet last time in January 2021 about 5th-anniversary goods.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry’s popularity peaked in 2015, and after that, it just keeps dropping. Even at the peak, it was only around 60% of what Konosuba season one was. Currently, it is sitting at only 1% of peak popularity in Japan and 10-15% worldwide.
The exciting thing is that Konosuba managed to get more popular with season 2 in the West, which does wonders for Konosuba Season 3 chances. I wonder if this series would get more popular with a sequel.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry is ranked number 154 in popularity with around 672,000 members. That’s not too bad, but the anime is six years old, so it’s not great either. The majority of popular series get 400-500k in the first year.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry has 1.500.000 copies in print as of 2017. It could be around 2,000,000 since the last number is from 2017. The latest volume was released just a month ago, so I hope we can get an updated number soon officially.
There is nothing new released for this franchise in terms of merchandise for the past four years. Only a few 5th-anniversary goods in 2021. There was a new figure planned two years ago, but it never got released. I guess it got canceled because of a lack of demand.
CONCLUSION FOR POPULARITY I do often read about this series from people and how much they love it. So it’s shocking that the popularity is so low. No new merchandise in the past two years and social media pretty much-abandoned means it’s no longer critical to the production committee to promote this series.
Why There Is No Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
From the information I presented in this article, it’s clear that the problem isn’t the source material. There is more than enough material in the books for a few more seasons of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry.
Popularity is pretty low, and the promotion stopped for this series, but it wasn’t terrible when it was airing. Low popularity doesn’t always mean no sequel.
Some niche series do get another season since they make enough profit even with a small fan-base. I mean, there will be Youjo Senki season 2, and that is a pretty niche anime.
That brings me to the main reason why there was never Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry season 2 announced. It looks like in the case of Chivalry of a Failed Knight the reason is money. The first season failed to make a good return in terms of profit.
Will There Be Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
The conclusion to the question of if there will be Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2 is that another season is most likely never getting announced. I would say it’s pretty close to 0% that this series will get another season.
So if you love this series, you should read the light novels to learn how it continues after the first season. Volume 4 in English just got released by SolPress recently, so you can continue where the anime ended.
This article will get updated again next year, and we will see if something perhaps changed. In the meantime, you can check the anime-continue category if you are curious about the chances of some other series receiving a continuation.
I hope this article helped you understand the chances of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2 getting announced in 2021.