Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry is one of the more popular magical school anime with fabulous art and likable characters, so why is there no sequel so far, and will we ever get Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2?
Without the second season, we will never see how the Ikki and Stella relationship develops in the future, or learn if Ikki will get to prove himself as the greatest knight.
The only way to learn that without a continuation would be to read the light novels, but most people will never do that. Watching anime is just what people prefer to do.
The problem is that Chivalry of a Failed Knight season 2 didn’t get officially announced yet, and we don’t know what the chances are that another season of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry will get announced.
How Can We Figure Out If There Will Be Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2?
I spend the past few years looking at many anime series to discover why some of them will get a sequel announced, and if they don’t, what is the reason behind that.
I discovered that checking the source material, popularity, and sales is the best choice if we want to figure out if a continuation will happen.
So I did the same for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2 in this post. If you want to know if there will be a continuation of this anime, you’ll love this article about Chivalry of a Failed Knight Season 2.
I will show you the information that I examined in 3 quick parts and tell you if you should expect Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2 to get announced in 2020.
Let’s start with an in-depth look at the source material.
Part 1: Source Material Information For Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
These days, most anime series are adapting an existing property like manga, light novels, games, and visual novels to increase popularity and sales.
For Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry, the source material used for the anime would be the light novel.
How many volumes are there for this series, and if the story is continuing in 2020 is vital to check. If the story concluded, that could be a big problem for another season like in the case of Air Gear Season 2.
After that, we need to figure out how many books got used for the first season of the anime. Sometimes anime does catch up with the source material like in case of OPM and why One Punch Man Season 3 will take a while to get announced.
How many volumes of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry are there?
There are currently 18 light novel volumes of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry released in Japan. The series got also adapted to a manga illustrated by Megumu Soramichi.
The manga got collected in eleven tankōbon volumes. There was also anthology manga volume illustrated by various artists that got published in 2014.
Is Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry still ongoing?
The Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry light novels are still ongoing for now. The latest volume by the author Riku Misora got released in Japan on June 12, 2020.
It looks like the story will be ending in 1-3 volumes, so it wouldn’t surprise me if, in 2021, it will get concluded.
Which light novels does the anime of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry cover?
The first season of the Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry anime that aired in 2015 adapted volumes 1-3. That means light novel volume 4 continues after where the anime ended.
CONCLUSION FOR SOURCE MATERIAL There is more than enough source material left for at least five more seasons of Chivalry of a Failed Knight. That means source material is not a problem for a potential sequel.
Part 2: Sales & Profit Information For Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
The main reason this anime got made was to generate profit for the production committee. That means looking at the sales for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry is critical to determine if there is a chance for a season 2.
Wise Man’s Grandchild Season 2 is a sequel that will have a tough time getting green-lit because of profit if you need an example.
A one cour anime television series like Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry can cost up to 3,000,000 dollars to produce.
Most people don’t understand that most sequels make less money than the first season. That means the profit needs to be large enough that even with a 20% drop, it would be worth doing a sequel.
For example, Goblin Slayer didn’t lose money, but a Goblin Slayer Season 2 would most likely not make a profit anymore.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Blu-Ray sales
The Rakugai Kishi, no Cavalry anime from Silver Link, sold around 3,000 copies per disk on average. That’s not terrible, but it’s not great either for 2015. The series got a BD-Box later, and it sold around 700 copies.
I would say 3,000 in 2015 is a pretty low number for an anime that wants a sequel. A good sales would be around 7-10k per volume since most anime that sold that much got one.
Well, unless you are Accel World because we never got Accel World season 2 even with high BD sales.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Light Novel sales
Volume 17 of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry was released on November 14, 2019, and sold approximately 15,000 copies. The latest light novel volume 18 that got released in 2020 sold around 10,000 copies so far.
The sales are bad for a series that got an anime adaptation. A good sales are around 30,000 – 80,000 for a popular series with anime. There are even light novels like Overlord that sell 230,000 copies, so no wonder there will be Overlord Season 4.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Merchandise sales
There are only two figures available for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry and both are Stella Vermillion. There are also around 15-25 pieces of merch made for this series, and that is super low.
This series is doing even worse than Tokyo Ravens in terms of merchandise, which is sad. I let you guess if there is Tokyo Ravens Season 2.
The above are just the main methods an anime adaptation can make a profit. I won’t post all of them here because the rest are usually only small profits.
But here are a few examples for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry – OST, ending/openings songs, international license for Sentai, streaming on HIDIVE, and more.
CONCLUSION FOR SALES & PROFIT The anime did poorly in increasing the source material sales or selling merch and Blu-Rays. That means the production committee did most likely not see any profit or even lost some money.
Part 3: Popularity Information For Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
What we are interested in this section is how much popular was Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry when it was airing in 2015 compared to other animes. Another essential thing to check is if the series is still active in 2020.
We will look at the official website, social media, Google trends, copies in print, and new merchandise. That will tell us all we need in terms of popularity.
The official website for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry was last updated in 2017 with news about Blu-Ray box. The official twitter account for this franchise with 37,000 followers did tweet last time in April 2020 about the anime. I think it got rebroadcasted in Japan at that time.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry popularity peaked in 2015, and after that, it just keeps dropping. Even at the peak, it was only around 60% of what Konosuba season one was. Interesting is that Konosuba managed to get more popular with season 2, so no wonder there will be Konosuba Season 3.
Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry has 1.500.000 copies in print as of 2017. It could be around 2,000,000 since the last number is from 2017. The latest volume released just a month ago, so I hope we can get an updated number soon officially.
There is nothing new released for this franchise in terms of merchandise for the past four years. There was a new figure planned two years ago, but it never got released. I guess it got canceled because of a lack of demand.
CONCLUSION FOR POPULARITY I do often read about this series from people and how much they love it. So it’s shocking that the popularity is so low.
Why There Is No Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
From the information I did present here, it’s clear that the problem isn’t the source material. There is more than enough material in the books for a few more seasons of Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry.
Popularity is pretty low, but it’s not terrible, and some niche series do get another season since they make enough profit even with small fan-base. I mean, there will be Youjo Senki season 2, and that is a pretty niche anime.
That brings me to the main reason why there was never Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry season 2. It looks like in the case of Chivalry of a Failed Knight the reason is money. The first season failed to make a good return in terms of profit.
Boost to the source material was weak, the Blu-Ray sales aren’t high, and the merchandise numbers are just extremely low for any good profit.
Will There Be Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry Season 2
The chances for another season for Rakudai Kishi no Cavalry are non-existent in 2020. I would say it’s pretty close to 0% that it will get another season.
So if you love this series, you should read the light novels if you want to know how it continues after the first season. Volume 4 in English just got released by SolPress recently so you can continue where the anime ended.
I will update this again next year, and we will see if something perhaps changed. In the meantime, you can check the anime-continue category for more sequels.
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