Goblin Slayer is a dark fantasy anime series about a guy in armor and his burning desire to slay goblins, so why is there no sequel so far, and will we ever get Goblin Slayer Season 2?
Without the second season, we will never see how many goblins can Goblin Slayer and his party slay and if he will ever accomplish his goal of getting rid of them.
The only way to learn the answers without a sequel would be to read the source material, but most people will never do that. Watching Goblin Slayer doing his job is much more fun with sound and animation.
The problem is that Goblin Slayer Season 2 didn’t get officially announced yet, and we don’t know what the chances are for another season of Goblin Slayer to get green-lit.
How Can We Figure Out If There Will Be Goblin Slayer Season 2?
There are several ways to check if there will be a sequel for anime, but I found the most reliable method after examining hundreds of anime series.
The method is to collect the latest information about the source material, sales, and popularity. That’s all you need to tell 95% of the time if there will be something more animated or why a series won’t get a second season.
I used this exact method to look at the chances of a sequel for Goblin Slayer, so if you want to know if there will be a continuation to this anime, you’ll love this detailed article.
Now let me give you the information I found in 3 parts and tell you if you should expect Goblin Slayer Season 2 to get announced in 2020.
Let’s start with an in-depth look at the source material.
Part 1: Source Material Information For Goblin Slayer Season 2
The source material used for the Goblin Slayer anime is the light novel even though the manga is doing much better in sales and popularity.
We need to check in this section if the story is still going on or if it’s close to ending. Ongoing series always have a better chance of receiving a sequel. That’s why, for example, I think there is some possibility for The Misfit of Demon King Academy Season 2 even if the anime didn’t sell that well.
After that, we need to figure out how many light novels got used, producing the movie and the first season of Goblin Slayer. If the anime did catch up to the source material, season 2 of Goblin Slayer could have the same problem as No Game No Life Season 2 did have.
How many volumes of Goblin Slayer are there?
There are currently 13 light novel volumes of Goblin Slayer released in Japan. Goblin Slayer also has a manga series that has teen books published. There is also a prequel manga available for this series.
Is Goblin Slayer still ongoing?
The Goblin Slayer light novels are still ongoing. The latest volume by the author Kumo Kagyu got released in Japan on October 14, 2020. The author wrote three books in 2018, two in 2019. For 2020, there are two new volumes of Goblin Slayer.
Which light novels does the anime of Goblin Slayer cover?
The Goblin Slayer anime that aired in 2018 adapted volumes 1-2 and parts of book 4. The new Goblin’s Crown’s movie for Goblin Slayer used the whole light novel volume 5, so around nine volumes are left to be used for a continuation.
Conclusion for Source Material More than enough source material is left in the light novels for at least three more seasons in 2020. That means source material is not a problem for Goblin Slayer and the reason why there is no sequel so far.
Part 2: Sales & Profit Information For Goblin Slayer Season 2
The main reason why an anime adaptation exists is to make a profit for the production committee. That’s why profit is the most critical factor determining if a sequel will get announced.
A one cour anime like Goblin Slayer can cost around 2-3 million to produce.
Even if the first season of Goblin Slayer would make money, it doesn’t mean a sequel would as well. It’s entirely reasonable for sequels to drop more than 20% of the profit. If you need an example of that, look at Noragami. A drop in sequel profits is a reason why there is no Noragami Season 3 so far.
Goblin Slayer Blu-Ray sales
The Goblin Slayer anime from WhiteFox sold around 4,000 copies per disk on average. That’s pretty good for 2018, considering the sales of Blu-Ray are collapsing for some time now.
With streaming accessible even in Japan now, people are buying expensive Blu-Rays less and less. Some big anime sequels like One Punch Man Season 3 will happen because they will be profitable just from streaming revenue.
Goblin Slayer Light Novel sales
The latest light novel volume 12 of Goblin Slayer sold around 27,000 copies so far, and the previous volume 11 did move 31,000 copies. Looking at the sales, I would say the average is about 30k.
The good news is that selling between 20-40k means it’s a popular series, but not a hit since that starts at 50k. The bad news is that the boost from anime was tiny for this series.
For comparison, the Classroom of The Elite is a recent light novel adaptation that used to sell even less than Goblin Slayer, with just 10k per volume. After the anime boost, it’s selling around 100k per volume. Yet I still don’t think there will be Classroom of The Elite Season 2 even with that boost.
Goblin Slayer Manga sales
The manga of Goblin Slayer is a lot more popular than the light novels. The latest volume 9 of the manga sold more than 100,000 copies. The previous volumes are around 150,000 copies, so this one should hit that as well.
Manga that sells around the 100k-250k range is good, but once again, the hit status is at least 250k or more. It looks that both the manga and the light novel didn’t benefit a lot from the anime adaptation. Even before the adaptation, it used to sell more than 100k per volume.
Goblin Slayer reminds me of Wise Man’s Grandchild since that series has the same problem, with the manga being more popular than the light novel. Plus, the sales are similar, so I wonder if Wise Man’s Grandchild season 2 or Goblin Slayer Season 2 will actually get announced.
Goblin Slayer Merchandise sales
There are eleven figures made for Goblin Slayer, and most of them are for Goblin Slayer and the Priestess, but the High Elf Archer and Cow Girl got each one as well. There is also only around 50 pieces of merchandise made for this series.
The merchandise isn’t doing too well for Goblin Slayer. The average quantity for popular series would be around 10-20 figures and 100-300 different pieces of merchandise.
Even Overlord, which is a darker series as well, got a lot more of both, and yes, there will be Overlord Season 4.
Goblin Slayer Movie Box-Office
Goblin Slayer Goblin’s Crown movie did ¥100,000,000 in Japan cinema, which is around 1m dollars. Blu-Ray sales for the movie are approximately 4,000 copies sold. The film did even worse than the Accel World movie that was half recap and limited release.
That is bad, and it doesn’t help the chances of Goblin Slayer Season 2. it’s precisely the opposite of what happened to Konosuba. That movie skyrocketed the chances of Konosuba Season 3 getting green-lit.
The above are just the main methods an anime adaptation can generate profit. There are many more ways anime makes money. I won’t post all of them here because the rest are usually only a small piece of the profits.
But here are a few examples for Goblin Slayer – Soundtrack (OST), ending/openings songs sales, web radio, international license for Funimation. Then you have streaming on Crunchyroll and Funimation, various collaborations, and more.
Conclusion for Sales & Profit The Blu-ray sales were fine for Goblin Slayer, but the boost to the light novels and manga was weak. Merchandise is doing poorly, and the movie bombed in the cinema. Goblin Slayer most likely didn’t lose money, but it didn’t make much either.
Part 3: Popularity Information For Goblin Slayer Season 2
Popularity is important because if there is no demand for another season like what happened to Tokyo Ravens Season 2, then there will not be a sequel.
I got a few methods of measuring the popularity of series and if the production committee still cares about the series.
That includes looks at Google trends and copies in print, new merchandise planned. If there are any plans for Goblin Slayer Season 2, then the social media needs to be active as well.
The official website for Goblin Slayer was last updated in September with news about the movie Goblin Slayer -GOBLIN’S CROWN being available for streaming. The official Twitter account for this franchise with 45,000 followers did tweet last time a few days ago about Goblin Slayer Volume 10.
Goblin Slayer peaked with the first episode on October 7. I believe it was because the first episode was controversial. After that, the popularity in Google dropped by 40%, but it was still holding around Konosuba or Overlord popularity. Now it just dropped as it was before anime.
Light Novels and Manga
In terms of light novels and manga, the series currently has 7,000,000 copies in print as of 2020/07. That not a bad number if we consider it’s only from around 20-25 books.
There doesn’t seem to be any new merchandise available for this series currently to pre-order. The last thing was the movie BD that got released in July. There is nothing new planned after the Priestess figure made for the movie in terms of figures.
Conclusion for Popularity The Goblin Slayer controversy with the first episode made many people aware of the series. Still, it looks like it didn’t turn them into fans of this franchise.
Will There Be Goblin Slayer Season 2
The series was popular, but I feel like it’s not enough to warrant spending more money to promote it. There was a minimal boost for the source material, and the merch sales are low. Nothing about this series screams that it’s a money maker.
So I think That Goblin Slayer Season 2 most likely won’t happen. The popularity in Japan just isn’t there, but there is still hope it will because of popularity in the west.
The only way I could see them thinking about Goblin Slayer Season 2 is if there was a massive boost for the English books. And the streaming rights are enough to cover the low amount of merch.
This article will get updated again next year, and we will see if something perhaps changed. In the meantime, you can check the anime-continue category if you are curious about the chances of some other series receiving a continuation.
I hope this article helped you understand what the chances are that Goblin Slayer Season 2 will get announced in 2020.