Goblin Slayer is a dark fantasy anime series about a guy in armor and his burning desire to slay goblins, so why is there no sequel so far, and will we ever get Goblin Slayer Season 2?
Without the second season, we will never see how many goblins can Goblin Slayer and his party slay and if he will ever achieve his goal of getting rid of them.
The only way to learn the answers without a sequel would be to read the source material, but most people will never do that. Watching Goblin Slayer doing his work is much more fun with sound and animation.
The problem is that Goblin Slayer Season 2 didn’t get officially announced yet, and we don’t know what the chances are for another season of Goblin Slayer to be announced.
How Can We Figure Out If There Will Be Goblin Slayer Season 2?
There are many ways to check if there will be a sequel for anime, but I found the most reliable method after examining hundreds of anime series.
The method is to collect the latest information about the source material, sales, and popularity. That’s all you need to tell 95% of the time if there will be something more animated or why anime won’t get a second season.
I used this exact method to look at the chances of a sequel for Goblin Slayer, so if you want to know if there will be more to this anime, you’ll love this detailed article.
Now let me give you the information I found in 3 parts and tell you if you should expect Goblin Slayer Season 2 to get announced in 2020.
Let’s start with an in-depth look at the source material.
Part 1: Source Material Information For Goblin Slayer Season 2
The source material for Goblin Slayer is the light novel even though the manga is doing much better in sales and popularity.
We need to check if the story is still going on or if it’s close to ending. If the story were finishing soon, that would mean a lower chance for a sequel getting green-lit like what happened with Air Gear Season 2.
After that, we need to figure out how many light novels got used, producing the movie and the first season of Goblin Slayer. If the anime did catch up to the source material, then we could wait years for a sequel, for example, that’s what happened in the case of No Game No Life Season 2.
How many volumes of Goblin Slayer are there?
There are currently 12 light novel volumes of Goblin Slayer released in Japan. Goblin Slayer also has a manga series that has nine books published. There is also a prequel manga available for this series.
Is Goblin Slayer still ongoing?
The Goblin Slayer light novels are still ongoing. The latest volume by the author Kumo Kagyu got released in Japan on February 14, 2020. The author wrote three books in 2018, two in 2019. For 2020, there is so far one volume of Goblin Slayer.
Which light novels does the anime of Goblin Slayer cover?
The Goblin Slayer anime that aired in 2018 adapted volumes 1-2 and parts of book 4. Goblin’s Crown’s new movie for Goblin Slayer used the whole volume 5, so there are around seven volumes not yet animated.
Conclusion for Source Material There is more than enough source material left in the light novels for at least three more seasons in 2020. That means source material is not a problem for Goblin Slayer currently.
Part 2: Sales & Profit Information For Goblin Slayer Season 2
The main reason why an anime adaptation exists is to make a profit for the production committee. That’s why sales are the most critical factor determining if a sequel will get announced.
A one cour anime like Goblin Slayer can cost around 2-3 million to produce.
Even if the first season of Goblin Slayer would make money, it doesn’t mean a sequel would as well. It’s entirely reasonable for sequels to drop more than 20% of the profit. For example, you should read why there is no Noragami Season 3.
Goblin Slayer Blu-Ray sales
The Goblin Slayer anime from WhiteFox sold around 4,000 copies per disk on average. That’s pretty good for 2018 considering the sales of Blu-Ray are collapsing for some time now.
With streaming accessible even in Japan now, people are buying expensive Blu-Rays less and less. Some big anime sequels like One Punch Man Season 3 will be profitable just from streaming revenue.
Goblin Slayer Light Novel sales
The latest light novel volume 12 of Goblin Slayer sold around 27,000 copies so far, and the previous volume 11 did move 31,000 copies. Looking at the sales, I would say the average is about 30k.
The good news is that anything between 20-40k sales is a popular series, but not a hit since that starts at 50k. The bad news is that the boost from anime was tiny for this series.
For comparison, Goblin Slayer sells less than Accel World, and to this day, there is no Accel World season 2, and that series sells around 60k per volume.
Goblin Slayer Manga sales
The manga of Goblin Slayer is a lot more popular than the light novels. The latest volume 9 of the manga sold more than 100,000 copies. The previous volumes are around 150,000 copies, so this one should hit that as well.
Manga that sells around the 100k-300k range is good, but once again, the hit status is at least 300k. It looks that both the manga and the light novel didn’t benefit a lot from the anime adaptation. Even before the adaptation, it used to sell more than 100k.
Goblin Slayer reminds me of Wise Man’s Grandchild since that series has the same problem, with the manga being more popular than the light novel. Plus, the sales are similar, so we will see if there will be Wise Man’s Grandchild season 2.
Goblin Slayer Merchandise sales
There are teen figures made for Goblin Slayer, and most of them are for Goblin Slayer and the Priestess, but the High Elf Archer and Cow Girl got each one as well. There is also only around 50 pieces of merchandise made for this series.
The merchandise isn’t doing too well for Goblin Slayer. The average quantity for popular series would be around 10-20 figures and 100-300 merch pieces.
Even Overlord, which is a dark series as well, got a lot more of both, so no wonder there will be Overlord Season 4.
Goblin Slayer Movie Box-Office
Goblin Slayer Goblin’s Crown movie did ¥100,000,000 in Japan cinema, which is around 1m dollars. The film did even worse than the Accel World movie that was half recap and limited release.
That is bad, and it doesn’t help the chances of Goblin Slayer Season 2. it’s precisely the opposite of what happened to Konosuba. That movie skyrocketed the chances of Konosuba Season 3.
I wonder how well will the BD sell for this movie in July.
The above are just the main methods an anime adaptation can generate profit. There are many more ways anime makes money. I won’t post all of them here because the rest are usually only a small piece of the profits.
But here are a few examples for Goblin Slayer – Soundtrack (OST), ending/openings songs sales, web radio, international license for Funimation. Then you have streaming on Crunchyroll and Funimation, various collaborations, and more.
Conclusion for Sales & Profit The Blu-ray sales were fine for Goblin Slayer, but the boost to the light novels and manga was weak. Merchandise is doing poorly, and the movie bombed in the cinema. Goblin Slayer most likely didn’t lose money, but it didn’t make much either.
Part 3: Popularity Information For Goblin Slayer Season 2
Popularity is important because if there is no demand for another season like what happened to Tokyo Ravens Season 2, then there will not be a sequel.
I got a few methods of how I measure the popularity of series.
Google trends and copies in print is a good measure of how much popular is Goblin Slayer. If there are any plans for Goblin Slayer Season 2, then the social media needs to be active and new merchandise available to pre-order.
The official website for Goblin Slayer was last updated in March with news about an autograph campaign. The official twitter account for this franchise with 45,000 followers did tweet last time in May about the staying home campaign.
Goblin Slayer peaked with the first episode on October 7. I believe it was because the first episode was controversial. After that, the popularity in Google dropped by 40%, but it was still holding around Konosuba or Overlord popularity. Now it just dropped as it was before anime.
Light Novels and Manga
In terms of light novels and manga, the series currently has 6,000,000 copies in print as of 2019/12. That is a substantial number if we consider it’s only from around 20-25 books.
There doesn’t seem to be any new merchandise available for this series currently to pre-order. The only new thing is the movie BD that will go on sale in July. In terms of figures, there is one planned from the film of Priestess.
Conclusion for Popularity The controversy of the series did make many people aware of the series, but it looks like it didn’t turn them into fans of Goblin Slayer.
Will There Be Goblin Slayer Season 2
The series was popular, but I feel like it’s not enough to warrant spending more money to promote it. There was a minimal boost for the source material, and the merch sales are low. Nothing about this series screams that it’s a money maker.
So I think there is a low to moderate chance that there will be Goblin Slayer Season 2 announced.
The only way I could see them thinking about Goblin Slayer Season 2 is if the USA had a massive boost for the English books, and the streaming rights are enough to cover the low amount of merch.
Next year, I think it will be easier to tell if there are any plans for Goblin Slayer Season 2, so I will update this in 2021. In the meantime, you can check the anime-continue category for more sequels.
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