What are the chances that Goblin Slayer was enough popular and successful series to receive a season 2?
Should you be waiting for the series to return with Goblin Slayer Season 2, or should you just read the source material?
If you like Goblin Slayer and would like to know the chances of another season, then continue reading. I will give you the odds of Goblin Slayer season 2 getting announced in this article. I did research a lot about the Goblin Slayer franchise, so what you will learn is from reliable data, and the latest information from 2020.
Here is what you will be able to learn from this article:
- Is there Goblin Slayer Season 2 Release Date
- How to determine chances of another season for Goblin Slayer
- Source Material Information
- Sales Information
- Popularity Information
- Will there be Goblin Slayer Season 2
Is There Goblin Slayer Season 2 Release Date?
Goblin Slayer Season 2 was never officially announced, so there is no official release date for this anime in 2020. That doesn’t mean there won’t be a second season of Goblin Slayer because that depends on a few factors that this article will answer.
Possibility of Goblin Slayer Season 2?
If we want to know the chances of a sequel to Goblin Slayer, then we need to look at the most critical factors that determine the likelihood of it. The factors are how much popular it was, the source material and money & profit.
The three factors above are the main reasons why you never see continuation for most anime. Here is a little info for people who are interested in why they are so crucial:
Why is the source material necessary
Goblin Slayer is adapted from the light novels into anime. That means if there is nothing left to adapt or the adaptation is ending, it will not make sense to continue adapting the series. Most anime is produced to promote or sell something in the first place.
Why are the sales and profit important
Anime is not cheap to make, considering that it can cost up to 3 million dollars to make one cour series. Not to mention that most anime have a hard time even making that back, so there is usually no profit for the production committee. And in that case, a sequel doesn’t get green-lit.
Why is enough popularity critical for a sequel
How popular did the Goblin Slayer anime get? Did it get enough big fan-base to support the series going forward? There is no point in making Goblin Slayer Season 2 if it can’t create new fans, or the fan-base isn’t big enough already to support a sequel.
Now let’s look at each factor quickly, and that will give us a solid clue what the chances are that we will get Goblin Slayer Season 2 announcement.
Source Material Information
Goblin Slayer got both manga and light novels, but we are mostly interested in the latter because that is the source material. We need to check how many volumes are there currently, and if it’s still ongoing. Also how many already got used for the first season of Goblin Slayer and the movie.
How many volumes of Goblin Slayer are there?
There are currently 12 light novel volumes of Goblin Slayer released in Japan. Goblin Slayer also has a manga series that has nine books published as of February 12, 2020. There is also a prequel manga available for this series.
Is Goblin Slayer still ongoing?
The Goblin Slayer light novels are still ongoing. The latest volume by the author Kumo Kagyu was published in Japan on February 14, 2020. The author wrote three books in 2018, two in 2019. And for 2020, there is so far one volume of Goblin Slayer.
Which light novels does the anime of Goblin Slayer cover?
The Goblin Slayer anime that aired in 2018 adapted volumes 1-2 and parts of book 4. The new movie for Goblin Slayer: Goblin’s Crown used the whole volume 5, so that means there are around seven volumes not yet animated.
Conclusion for Source Material: There is more than enough source material left in the light novels for at least three more seasons in 2020. That means source material is not a problem for Goblin Slayer currently.
Sales & Profit Information
The main reason why an anime adaptation exists is to make a profit for the production committee. That’s why sales are the most critical factor that determines if a sequel makes any point getting made. Now Let’s looks if Goblin Slayer Season 2 is possible from the profit of the first season.
Goblin Slayer Blu-Ray sales
The Goblin Slayer anime from WhiteFox sold around 4,000 copies per disk on average. I would say that’s pretty good for 2018 considering the sales of Blu-Ray are collapsing for some time now. With streaming accessible even in Japan now, people are buying expensive Blu-Rays less and less.
Goblin Slayer Light Novel sales
The latest light novel volume of Goblin Slayer sold around 27,000 copies so far, and the previous book 11 did move 31,000 copies. Looking at the sales, I would say the average is about 30k.
The good news is that anything between 20-40k sales is a popular series, but not a hit since that starts at 50k. The bad news is that the boost from anime was tiny for this series.
Goblin Slayer Manga sales
The manga of Goblin Slayer is a lot more popular than the light novels, considering the latest volume 9 of the manga sold more than 100,000 copies. The previous volumes are around 150,000 copies, so this one should hit that as well.
Manga that sells around the 100k-300k range is good, but once again, the hit status is 300k and more. And it looks that both the manga and the light novel didn’t benefit a lot from the anime adaptation. Even before the adaptation, it used to sell more than 100k.
Goblin Slayer Merchandise sales
There are teen figmas made for Goblin Slayer, and most of the are for Goblin Slayer and the Priestess, but the High Elf Archer and Cow Girl got each one as well. There is also only around 50 pieces of merchandise made for this series.
The merchandise isn’t doing too well for Goblin Slayer. The average quantity for popular series would be around 10-20 figmas and 100-300 merch pieces. The movie didn’t help the merch either.
Goblin Slayer Movie Box-Office
Goblin Slayer Goblin’s Crown movie did ¥100,000,000 in Japan cinema, which is around 1m dollars. The film did even worse than the Accel World movie that was half recap and limited release. That is bad, and it doesn’t help the chances of Goblin Slayer Season 2. I wonder how well will the BD sell for this movie in July.
The above are just the main methods an anime adaptation can generate profit, but there are more ways anime makes money. I won’t post all of them here because the rest are usually only a small piece of the profits.
But here are a few examples for Goblin Slayer – Soundtrack (OST), ending/openings songs sales, web radio, international license for Funimation, streaming on Crunchyroll and Funimation, various collaborations, and more.
Conclusion for Sales & Profit: The BD sales were fine for Goblin Slayer, but the boost to the light novels and manga was weak. Merchandise is doing poorly, and the movie bombed in the cinema. Goblin Slayer most likely didn’t lose money, but it didn’t make much either.
I got a few methods of how I measure the popularity of series. Google trends and copies in print is a good measure of how much popular is Goblin Slayer. Also if there are any plans for Goblin Slayer Season 2, then the social media need to be active, new merchandise being produced
The official website for Goblin Slayer was last updated in March with news about an autograph campaign. And the official twitter account for this franchise with 45,000 followers did tweet last time in May about the staying home campaign.
Goblin Slayer peaked with the first episode on October 7, and I believe it was because the first episode was controversial. After that, the popularity in Google dropped by 40%, but it was still holding around Konosuba or Overlord levels of popularity. Now it just dropped as it was before anime.
Light Novels and Manga
In terms of light novels and manga, the series currently has 6,000,000 copies in print as of 2019/12. That is a substantial number if we consider it’s only from around 20-25 books.
There doesn’t seem to be any new merchandise available for this series currently to pre-order. The only new thing is the movie BD that will go on sale in July. In terms of Figma, there is one planned from the film of Priestess.
Conclusion for Popularity: The controversy of the series did make many people aware of the series, but it looks like it didn’t turn them into fans of Goblin Slayer.
Will There Be Goblin Slayer Season 2
I think there is a low chance that there will be Goblin Slayer Season 2 announced. The series was popular, but not enough to warrant spending more money to promote it. There was a minimal boost for the source material, and the merch sales are low. Nothing about this series screams that it’s a money maker.
The only way I could see them thinking about Goblin Slayer Season 2 is if the USA had a massive boost for the English books, and the streaming rights are enough to cover the low amount of merch.
So, in short, Goblin Slayer Season 2 is unlikely, but not impossible, so, for now, go read the light novel/manga if you want the continuation of the story.
I think next year it will be easier to tell if there are any plans for Goblin Slayer Season 2, so I will update this in 2021. Until then, you can read about more anime sequel in the anime-continue category.