Re:Zero is the most popular isekai anime with excellent character writing, an exciting world, and a great premise with many mysteries, so what are the prospects of a Re:Zero season 3 announcement?
Without a third season, we will never know if Subaru manages to get Rem back or if he will be able to grant Satella’s wish. Also, I would love to see how Emilia will deal with Pandora in the future and what’s hidden in the Seal.
The only way to learn what happens next without a sequel would be to read the light novels. However, most people prefer to watch the Re:Zero anime since they get superb ost and excellent voice acting with it.
The problem is that Re:Zero Season 3 didn’t get officially announced yet in 2021, and we don’t know what the chances are that another season of Re:Zero will get green-lit.
So how can we figure out the probability that Re:Zero Season 3 will get announced?
After examining a few hundred of anime series in the past few years, I did discover one of the best methods to determine if a sequel is possible or why it won’t get green-lit.
The method I use is 90% of the time correct, and it’s to look at the sales, source material, and popularity of a series. You can tell from that information if there are any plans to continue an anime.
I did the same analysis in this article for Re:Zero, so if you want to know if there will be a third season for Re:Zero, you should read this comprehensive article.
Now let me give you the information I found in 3 quick parts and tell you if you should expect Re:Zero Season 3 to get announced in 2021.
Let’s start with an in-depth look at the source material.
Part 1: Source Material Information For Re:Zero Season 3
Most anime series in 2021 are just adaptations from existing source material like manga, mobile games, visual novels, manhwa, or light novels.
For Re:Zero, the source material is the light novels.
We need to look at how many light novel volumes are there so far and if the story is still going on. An ongoing series will always have a higher chance of receiving a sequel. Even Overlord Season 4 will happen because the series didn’t end yet, even though the book’s release speed is terrible.
We also need to look at how many volumes did WhiteFox use for the two seasons of Re:Zero. There are sequels like No Game No Life Season 2 that didn’t happen yet because there was no source material left to use after the first season.
How many volumes of Re:Zero are there?
There are currently 26 light novel volumes of Re:Zero released in Japan. There are also four spin-off EX volumes. All of them have manga adaptations as well, even the EX volumes.
Is Re:Zero still ongoing?
Re:Zero is still an ongoing series in 2021. The last volume by the author Tappei Nagatsuki got released in Japan on March 25, 2021. Volume 27 of the light novels will get released on June 25, 2021.
The author does write about three to four new light novel volumes per year. That’s how it’s been for the past five years.
Which light novel volumes does the anime of Re:Zero covers?
The first season of Re:Zero anime that aired in 2016 adapted volumes 1-9. The second season of the anime adapted volumes 10 to 15. That means light novel volume 16 didn’t get yet adapted into anime format.
CONCLUSION FOR SOURCE MATERIAL: There are currently eleven light novel volumes left to get used for Re:Zero Season 3, which should be enough for another two cour seasons. That means source material is currently not a problem for this series.
Part 2: Sales & Profit Information For Re:Zero Season 3
The primary purpose of anime getting an adaptation is to make a profit for the production committee. And it’s pretty normal for a season 2 to make less profit than the first season. Noragami Season 3 is a sequel that didn’t get announced yet for that reason since season 2 did make a lot less money.
A two cour anime television series like Re:Zero with extended runtime and no OP/ED can cost up to 6 to 8,000,000 dollars to produce.
So in this section, we will look into information about the profit for the anime series. If the franchise is still making a significant profit, I could see Re:Zero getting the Jujutsu Kaisen treatment. Jujutsu Kaisen Season 2 is guaranteed, and I would be surprised if it didn’t get a complete adaptation.
Re:Zero Blu-Ray sales
The First season of Re:Zero sold on average around 12,000 copies per Blu-ray volume, and the second season is around 5,000 copies. That’s more than a 50% drop, but 5k is still an excellent number in 2021.
Blu-Ray sales are just an extra these days because streaming took over most of the profit series did from disks. And even big series like One Punch Man had a considerable drop in disk sold, and yet there will still be One Punch Man season 3 thanks to streaming.
Re:Zero Light Novel sales
Volume 24 of Re:Zero was released on September 25, 2020, and sold around 40k copies. Volume 25, released on December 25, 2020, sold approximately 42,000 copies. The latest Volume 26 numbers are not yet out, but I’m curious about the effect the anime had on the sales.
Re:Zero was also the second best-selling light novel by series in Japan for 2020, with around 732,314 copies sold and only beaten by Demon Slayer. From 2016 Re:Zero is consistently ranked in the top 5 best sellers per year.
If there is one thing Re:Zero shines at, then it’s selling merchandise. There are currently around 500 different figures and approximately 3,000 goods produced for this series. Even Echidna is getting plenty of good stuff made for her.
Re:Zero has four video games. 2 visual novels, 1 for mobile, and one browser game yet not released.
The first visual novel game, Death or Kiss, sold around 30k copies in Japan and considering they did a second game, it did make a profit. The second game, called The Prophecy of the Throne, sold about 10k in the first week in Japan. The second game also got released on steam in English.
Re:Zero Lost in Memories, the mobile game for SEGA, is doing really well with around 2 million dollars revenue per month. It’s doing even better than the Konosuba mobile game, and there will be Konosuba Season 3.
The browser game is not yet released, so no info about how well it’s doing right now.
Re:Zero OVA Box Office
The Memory Snow OVA did make around ¥255,000,000, which is around 2,5 million dollars. Hyouketsu no Kizuna, the second OVA, did about ¥300,000,000, so approximately 3 million dollars. Both of the OVA did well and made a profit.
The above are just the main methods an anime adaptation can make a profit, but there are more ways anime makes money. I won’t post all of them here because the rest are usually only a small piece of the profits.
But here are a few examples for Re:Zero – Soundtrack (OST), ending/openings songs sales, web radio, international license for Crunchyroll, streaming, chibi shorts, various collaborations, and more.
CONCLUSION FOR SALES & PROFIT Re:Zero is currently one of the most profitable light novel anime series. It’s not making big shounen series profit, but it’s not that far away. In short, profit won’t be a problem for a sequel getting green-lit.
Part 3: Popularity Information For Re:Zero Season 3
We are interested in how well the series did during the second season in terms of popularity. It did take four years to get a sequel, so I wonder if it’s still a popular as it was, especially in Japan.
Some series get forgotten in just a few years, so was Re:Zero one of them?
We will be looking at the official website, social media, Google trends, MyAnimeList rankings, copies in print, new merchandise. That will give us the answer.
The official website for Re:Zero gets often updated in 2021 with news about the series. The official Twitter account for this franchise with 559,000 followers is tweeting actively almost daily. That’s a lot of Twitter follows.
The popularity of the second season of Re:Zero is almost the same as the first season worldwide. If we look only at Japan, then the second season was much more popular than the first one. It’s almost 40% up.
Re:Zero is ranked number 21 in popularity with around 1,555,000 members. The first part of the second season is ranked number 163 with 666,000 members. The second one is 335 with 413 members. Being in the top 20 means, it’s one of the most popular anime series made.
Re:Zero has 7.000.000 copies in print as of 2020/3. I was hoping we will get a new number with volume 26, but that’s not the case. I hope it can reach at least 9 million copies before the end of 2021. There should be 2 to 3 new volumes released this year, so that will help.
New merchandise is getting promoted every week on official Twitter, and there were around ten new figmas announced just in March. Emilia and Echidna should be getting much more stuff this year.
CONCLUSION FOR POPULARITY Re:Zero is still a super popular anime series that will most likely not lose popularity anytime soon. The four years waiting for a sequel didn’t really hurt it that much.
Will There Be Re:Zero Season 3
I would say with 99% probability that there will be Re:Zero season 3 announced. It really wouldn’t make sense not to make another season for such a big series that makes enormous profit.
I think the third season of Re:Zero will get announced on Anime Japan 2022, and the release date will be April 1, 2023.
The second season of Re:Zero was originally planned to start on April 1, 2020 (Subaru’s Birthday) and end on September 23 (Emilia’s Birthday). It wouldn’t surprise me if they wanted to do the same for the third season, and two years should give WhiteFox enough time.
Well, It could get announced sooner, but I don’t think it will air before 2023. It really depends on what is WhiteFox doing after Re:Zero. Currently, they had nothing announced, but there are three anime made by them that have new anime projects announced.
I don’t think they will be doing all, but there is Goblin Slayer, Maou-Sama and Utawarerumono, and there are rumors about Shinchou Yuusha season 2.
And If there is one thing I was disappointed about Re:Zero season 2, it would be the animation. It really was a noticeable downgrade from season one. That’s why I hope WhiteFox will have more time for season 3 preproduction since it needs better quality considering all the fights it will have.
This article will get updated again next year, and we will see if something perhaps changed. In the meantime, you can check the anime-continue category if you are curious about the chances of some other series receiving a continuation.
I hope this article helped you understand the chances of Re:Zero Season 3 getting announced in 2021.