It’s been a few years since the second season of Noragami ended, so why wasn’t season 3 announced yet?
Is there any point to continue hoping that we will hear news about Noragami season 3 soon?
Should you just read the manga if you want to know what happens next to Yato and Hiyori?
If you are a big fan of Noragami, then keep reading because you will learn what is going on with the sequel and more in this article. I spend a lot of time examining what happened to Noragami Season 3, so everything you will read is backed up by reliable data, and the latest information that is available in 2020.
Here is the information you can learn from this article:
- Is there Noragami Season 3 release date
- How to determine chances of another season for Noragami
- Source Material Information
- Sales Information
- Popularity Information
- Why there is no Noragami Season 3 so far
- Will there be Noragami Season 3
Is There Noragami Season 3 Release Date?
Noragami Season 3 was never officially announced, so there is no official release date for this anime in 2020. That doesn’t mean there won’t be a third season of Noragami because that depends on a few factors that this article will answer.
Possibility of Noragami Season 3?
If we want to figure out if another season of Noragami can happen, we need to find information about three critical factors that can determine if season 3 can be green-lit. Those would be the status of the manga, popularity drop, and if the second season was profitable.
There can be other reasons why a third season would not get approved, but I would say source material, money & profit, and popularity are the main obstacles usually to a sequel. Here is a short explanation of why they are so important:
Why is the source material necessary
Most anime are just adaptations from existing source material like manga or light novels. In the case of Noragami, it’s the manga, so figuring out the status of it is essential. If there is nothing left to use for the 3rd season or it’s close to ending, then that would be an obstacle to the sequel.
Why are the sales and profit important
Anime is not cheap to produce since a one cour series like Noragami can cost up to 3m dollars. Not to mention the whole point of making it in the first place is to make a profit. So looking at how well did the second season of Noragami did in terms of money is vital for us.
Why is enough popularity critical for a sequel
Since the first season did get a sequel, then it’s safe to say that it was popular, but what about the sequel Noragami Aragoto? There is no point in making the third season for Noragami if the second one lost a lot of fans. That’s why we need to check popularity as well.
Now let’s quickly examine each one of these factors for Noragami, and that will give us a clue why there is no sequel so far. And more importantly, we can determine what the chances that Noragami Season 3 will get announced are.
Source Material Information
For source material, the stuff that interests us is how many manga volumes of Noragami are there and if the story is still going on. Then we need to check how many volumes got used for the anime adaptation and what is left for potential continuation.
How many volumes of Noragami are there?
There are currently 21 manga volumes of Noragami released in Japan. There are also two spin-off manga stories. The first one follows the god Yato and his encounter with a society called Noragami: Stray God. The second spin-off manga is called Noragami: Stray Stories, but it’s just one volume, and it’s on hold.
Is Noragami Manga still ongoing?
The Noragami manga is still ongoing. The latest volume 21 by the author Adachitoka got released in Japan on October 17, 2019. The author wrote only one book in 2017 and 1 in 2018. And for 2019, it looks like it was two new volumes.
Which manga volumes does the anime of Noragami cover?
The first season of Noragami that aired in 2014 adapted volumes 1-3. The second season did cover volumes four to nine. That means manga volume 10 of the manga continues after anime. So that gives us eleven books that can get used for Noragami season 3.
Conclusion for Source Material: There are certainly more than enough manga volumes left for at least another two seasons of Noragami. The fact that the manga is still ongoing does improve Noragami Season 3 chances because there is something to promote for the anime.
Sales & Profit Information
Well, we did check the source material, and now it’s time for the sales. Most anime never get a 3rd season because there is usually a drop from season to season in terms of profit. A good drop would be less than 25%, so let’s see how much did Noragami sales drop.
Noragami Blu-Ray sales
The average sales per volume are around 5,000 for the first season of Noragami. The first season got a BD-Box in September 2015 that sold 400 copies as well. The second didn’t fare so well and sold approximately 2,000 per volume.
Noragami Manga sales
I looked at the sales of the latest Noragami manga volume 20, and it sold around 140,000 copies. Manga volume 21 sold approximately 120,000 copies. Noragami used to sell a lot more with about 300,000 copies for volume 12, but the manga keeps selling less and less each year.
Four figmas available for Noragami and the four figmas are all for different characters, and those are Bishamon, Iki Hiyori, Kofuku, and Yato. There are also 450 goods manufactured for Noragami. The Merchandise numbers would be fine, but the problem is that 80% is from the first season. Only around 20% is from the second season Noragami Aragoto.
The above are just the main methods an anime adaptation can generate profit, but there are more ways anime makes money. I won’t post all of them here because the rest are usually only a small piece of the profits.
But here are a few examples for Noragami – Soundtrack (OST), ending/openings songs sales, international license for Funimation, streaming on Hulu and Funimation, various collaborations, and more.
Conclusion for Sales & Profit: The second season of Noragami sold a lot worse than the first one. There was more than a 50% drop between seasons. Even the manga is selling less than half than it used to. I would understand such a significant decline if it was a long waiting time between season, but it was just one year.
What we are interested in is if the series is still popular and active. That means looking at the official website, social media, Google trends, copies in print, new merchandise, and stuff similar to that. That will help us understand the current popularity and activity of the Noragami franchise for 2020.
The official website for Noragami was last updated in September 2019 with news about the Noragami and Noragami Aragoto re-broadcast. And the official twitter account for this franchise with 108,000 followers did tweet last time in December 2019 about the same thing.
the Interesting thing is that according to Google, the second season was more popular than the first one. I was expecting the opposite considering the sales for season one were much stronger. Noragami’s popularity in Google is now around 15% of what it was at the peak with the second season.
Did you know the author of Noragami Adachitoka consists of two female mangakas? And did you know one of the authors has some health issues? Because that’s is probably the reason why the manga release rate is so slow recently.
Noragami had a healthy release rate of new goods until 2016. From 2017 it got only a few new things like phone cases, and in 2018 and 2019, it got almost nothing new released or announced. I did recheck this in 2020, and there is no new merch announced sadly.
Conclusion for Popularity: From the popularity stand-point, it’s nowhere where it used to be with more than 50% drop in sales. No new merch and slow-release speed of the manga aren’t helping the popularity either.
Why There is No Noragami Season 3
After all my research, I believe there are two main reasons why Noragami season 3 was not announced so far.
The main reason is that the second season did much worse than the first. It sold fewer Blu-Ray and merchandise. The manga boost was additionally tiny the second time, and Noragami is no One Punch Man Season 3 that could afford a significant drop.
The second reason is that one of the authors has medical issues. The manga went into the year-long break and never recovered from it. The author used to release three volumes per year, and now it’s just 1 for the past few years.
Will There Be Noragami Season 3
Well, looking at Noragami as a franchise in 2020, not much has changed since last the year. Studio Bones seems still bussy with My Hero Academia and few other projects, so I doubt they would even have time for Noragami Season 3 this year.
The two main problems for season 3 are still there. The most significant issues are the sales for the second season dropped a lot and that the author still has health issues, as I pointed above.
There were two new manga volumes of Noragami released in 2019, so maybe the author is feeling a little better now. I hope 2020 will look better in terms of release schedule.
So to answer the question, if there will be Noragami season 3, the answer would be most likely not. Another season is not happening in 2020, at least. I won’t say there will never be season Noragami season 3 because all the problems can be solved.
For example, you can replace the Blu-Ray sales by streaming revenue. Merchandise sales and manga sales should improve if there is another season. And maybe the health of the author will improve.
I will update this again in 2021, and we will see if anything changed by then. For now, support the series if you can and hope for the best. It has better chances than something like Accel World season 2, at least.