Shinchou Yuusha or Cautious Hero an isekai anime with a main character that is extremely cautious, which results in some good comedy, so what are the prospects of a Shinchou Yuusha season 2 announcement?
Without a second season, we will never get to see more of Rista and her bizarre facial expressions. Also, I wonder how they will be able to save the next world that is SS-rank difficulty.
The only way to learn what happens next without a sequel would be to read the light novels. However, I believe that most people liked the Saturday morning cartoon style Shinchou Yuusha got animated in, so they will wait to watch a sequel.
The problem is that Shinchou Yuusha Season 2 didn’t get officially announced yet in 2021, and we don’t know what the chances are that another season of Cautious Hero will get green-lit.
So how can we figure out the probability that Shinchou Yuusha Season 2 will get announced?
After examining a lot of isekai anime series in the past few years, I did discover one of the best methods to determine if a sequel is possible or why it won’t get green-lit.
The method I use is 90% of the time correct, and it’s to look at the sales, source material, and popularity of a series. You can tell from that information if there are any plans to continue an anime.
I did the same analysis in this article for Shinchou Yuusha, so if you want to know if there will be a second season for Cautious Hero, you should read this comprehensive article.
Now let me give you the information I found in 3 quick parts and tell you if you should expect Shinchou Yuusha Season 2 to get announced in 2021.
Let’s start with an in-depth look at the source material.
Part 1: Source Material Information For Shinchou Yuusha Season 2
Most anime series in 2021 are just adaptations from existing source material like manga, mobile games, visual novels, manhwa, or light novels.
For Shinchou Yuusha, the source material is the light novel.
We need to check out how many light novel volumes are there so far and if the story is still ongoing in 2021. An ongoing series will always have a higher chance of receiving a sequel. Well, then there are series like Konosuba that already ended, but there will still be Konosuba Season 3 just because of how popular it is.
We also need to look at how many volumes did WhiteFox use for the first season of Shinchou Yuusha. There are sequels like No Game No Life Season 2 that didn’t happen yet because there was no source material left to use after the first season.
How many volumes of Shinchou Yuusha are there?
There are currently seven light novel volumes of Shinchou Yuusha released in Japan. There are also three volumes of manga for this series. The manga is just an adaptation of the source material.
Is Shinchou Yuusha still ongoing?
Shinchou Yuusha is still an ongoing series in 2021. The last volume by the author Light Tuchihi got released in Japan on December 10, 2019. Volume 8 of the light novels doesn’t yet have a release date.
The author does write about two to three new light novel volumes per year. In 2020 there was no new volume, but maybe that’s because the author started a new series called Full Dive that is also getting an anime this year.
Which light novel volumes does the anime of Shinchou Yuusha cover?
The first season of Shinchou Yuusha anime that aired in 2019 adapted volumes 1 and 2. That means light novel volume 3 didn’t get yet adapted into anime format.
CONCLUSION FOR SOURCE MATERIAL: There are currently five light novel volumes left to get used for Shinchou Yuusha Season 2, which should be enough for another two single cour seasons. That means source material is currently not a problem for this series.
Part 2: Sales & Profit Information For Shinchou Yuusha Season 2
The primary purpose of anime getting an adaptation is to make a profit for the production committee. And it’s relatively normal for a season 2 to make less profit than the first season. Classroom of The Elite season 2 is a sequel that most likely won’t happen because it wouldn’t make a profit anymore.
An anime series like Shinchou Yuusha that is a low-budget adaptation, can cost up to 1,5 to 2,000,000 dollars to produce.
So in this section, we will look into information about the profit for the anime series. I wonder if it made at least a similar profit to The Misfit of Demon King Academy. That would be good, considering there is already The Misfit of Demon King Academy season 2 announced.
Shinchou Yuusha Blu-Ray sales
The First season of Shunchou Yuusha sold on average around 700 copies per Blu-ray volume. That’s a really low number, even for 2021. I did expect at least 1,5k or more.
Well, Blu-Ray sales are just an bonus these days. Streaming took over most of the profit series did from disks. And even big series like One Punch Man had a considerable drop in disk sold, and yet there will still be One Punch Man season 3 thanks to streaming.
Shinchou Yuusha Light Novel sales
Volume 6 of Shunchou Yuusha was released on October 10, 2019, and sold less than 5k copies. Volume 7, released on December 10, 2019, sold less than 5,000 copies again. I say less because it never ranked in the top 10, so there are no sales numbers.
I searched for older volume sales, but it looks like the sales were always below 5k since that’s what you need to rank. That is pretty bad, considering even an old series like Accel World outsells it by a lot, yet there is no Accel World Season 2.
Shinchou Yuusha Merchandise
Three figures available for Shinchou Yuusha, and all of them are Ristarte. There are also only around 140 different goods for this franchise. Well, Shinchou Yuusha season 1 got a decent amount of merchandise for a one cour series.
The above are just the main methods an anime adaptation can make a profit, but there are more ways anime makes money. I won’t post all of them here because the rest are usually only a small piece of the profits.
But here are a few examples for Shinchou Yuusha – Soundtrack (OST), ending/openings songs sales, web radio, international license for Funimation, streaming, and more.
CONCLUSION FOR SALES & PROFIT The sales are pretty bad, but thanks to the merchandise and most likely streaming, this series didn’t flop. I wonder how much profit a sequel would make because I can’t see it making too much money.
Part 3: Popularity Information For Shinchou Yuusha Season 2
We are interested in how well the series did in popularity when it was airing in 2019. Looking at the sales numbers, I would say the popularity was never massive, but we will see.
Some series do get forgotten in just a year, so was Shinchou Yuusha one of them?
We will be looking at the official website, social media, Google trends, MyAnimeList rankings, copies in print, new merchandise. That will give us the answer.
The official website for Shinchou Yuusha was last updated on July 1, 2020, with news about rebroadcasting. The official Twitter account for this franchise with 21,000 followers did tweet in march about a collaboration illustration with the author’s new series. Other than that, it’s pretty quiet.
The popularity of Shinchou Yuusha was almost the same as Konosuba, at least in Japan when the anime was airing. Worldwide it’s was only around 50% of Konosuba. The difference is that Konosuba stayed at 25% of the peak when it ended, but Shinchou Yuusha dropped to less than 5%.
Any anime that drops below 15% of the peak is usually just forgotten after it ended. People just watch the anime and then forget it existed.
Shinchou Yuusha is ranked number 383 in popularity with around 380,000 members. Well, not the best, but not the worst. For comparison, Jujutsu Kaisen aired just seven months ago but is already at 950,000 members. And people wonder if there will be Jujutsu Kaisen Season 2.
Shinchou Yuusha most likely didn’t even reach 300,000 copies in print. I wonder if the author started a new series because this one was going nowhere. There was no new volume released in 2020, but I hope there will be one in 2021.
So far in 2021, there was no new merch or figures released for this series. Most of the merch for Cautious Hero have was released and made in the first half of 2020, but after that, it’s pretty much non-existent. Sad because god merch numbers can make a sequel more likely.
CONCLUSION FOR POPULARITY Shinchou Yuusha was a pretty popular series when it was airing, but after that, people forgot about it. I wonder if Seiya and Ristarte will be part of Isekai Quartet season 3.
Will There Be Shinchou Yuusha Season 2
I believe Shinchou Yuusha got made on a tiny budget compared to most other series. So while it didn’t make much money, it still most likely made a small profit just from worldwide streaming.
So yes, I think we may get Cautious Hero season 2 announced in 2021.
There are some rumors that WhiteFox is already working on Cautious Hero season 2. So we need to wait and see if it gets confirmed. Always take leaks with a grain of salt. Plus, it could just be some OVA or a really short season with just ten episodes or something like that.
This article will get updated again next year, and we will see if something perhaps changed. In the meantime, you can check the anime-continue category if you are curious about the chances of some other series receiving a continuation.
I hope this article helped you understand the chances of Shinchou Yuusha Season 2 getting announced in 2021.